Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 150.681769 174.409419 201.879436 236.325206 278.776199 329.927456 3.970663e+02
2025-06-15 121.104616 151.424382 190.352412 245.140856 322.192815 429.819054 5.975238e+02
2025-06-22 98.130030 128.459814 169.924492 232.708918 329.086928 478.369439 7.428067e+02
2025-06-29 85.590446 116.224999 160.291807 231.212359 348.629892 548.229727 9.475907e+02
2025-07-06 76.521390 107.084113 152.947077 230.696889 368.255787 622.776693 1.195115e+03
2025-07-13 72.678004 104.881042 155.365029 245.787158 417.756774 767.935559 1.673177e+03
2025-07-20 69.953582 103.873399 159.278398 263.904458 477.658747 958.123732 2.405451e+03
2025-07-27 65.093278 98.732428 155.402006 266.846633 507.740078 1094.738075 3.114028e+03
2025-08-03 61.535273 95.274189 153.849986 273.776873 548.293945 1276.483708 4.181166e+03
2025-08-10 57.511977 90.542951 149.320016 273.753711 572.790454 1427.351867 5.340112e+03
2025-08-17 54.427124 87.109356 146.707922 277.211608 606.943813 1626.784611 7.082949e+03
2025-08-24 50.966501 82.651313 141.580322 274.214996 623.559061 1779.701327 8.906475e+03
2025-08-31 47.184569 77.578195 135.288683 269.037872 637.548344 1952.735889 1.154759e+04
2025-09-07 45.268142 75.826975 135.513565 279.561200 702.576000 2389.484274 1.852750e+04
2025-09-14 41.299796 69.782587 126.155496 264.846431 684.890208 2455.636433 2.209409e+04
2025-09-21 38.877392 66.499136 122.203877 263.077450 709.316977 2753.581601 3.155006e+04
2025-09-28 36.800642 63.696591 118.936378 262.468255 738.030031 3112.702416 4.713469e+04
2025-10-05 36.262718 63.897042 122.248870 280.330167 842.613419 4080.386454 1.061674e+05
2025-10-12 35.924315 64.459334 126.447653 301.849046 975.148675 5537.949979 3.183672e+05
2025-10-19 34.466866 62.549807 124.656472 305.351008 1034.538706 6567.324488 7.761212e+05
2025-10-26 33.390409 61.349517 124.404891 313.607789 1121.651701 8136.349149 3.129046e+06
2025-11-02 31.954031 59.251334 121.720304 313.580176 1169.542499 9455.474807 1.569899e+07
2025-11-09 30.834020 57.753668 120.360297 317.704083 1242.946836 11442.323366 7.989541e+08